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The Federal Reserve's recent meeting minutes indicate a shift towards a more cautious approach to rate cuts, with a focus on following inflation trends. Meanwhile, China's inflation data shows stable consumer prices, while the UK experiences significant deflation in non-food items, suggesting increased consumer spending. Upcoming German trade data may gain political significance amid rising economic nationalism.
Arthur Hayes predicts a potential Bitcoin rally in Q1 2025, driven by the US Federal Reserve's plan to inject $612 billion into the economy following Donald Trump's inauguration. Despite recent volatility, he suggests that this liquidity could offset regulatory disappointments and boost BTC prices.However, some analysts express caution, noting the Fed's delayed interest rate cuts and bearish technical patterns that could lead to a price drop. Meanwhile, institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing, highlighted by record inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.
The U.S. government is set to sell 69,370 BTC, valued at over $6.5 billion, following a Supreme Court ruling that ended a legal dispute over the ownership of these assets. This sale, overseen by the U.S. Marshals Service, is expected to exert significant downward pressure on Bitcoin prices, which have already seen fluctuations amid market concerns. With President-elect Donald Trump soon to take office, the decision raises questions about the future of Bitcoin as a strategic asset under his administration.
Peter Schiff asserts that the U.S. government is unlikely to purchase Bitcoin, despite former President Trump's promise to establish a national Bitcoin reserve. While Trump plans to freeze existing seized Bitcoin, Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis proposes a more aggressive strategy of acquiring one million BTC over five years. Schiff criticizes the speculative nature of Bitcoin, likening its volatility to that of stock markets, and warns that recent price surges may only delay an inevitable crash.
World Liberty Financial (WLFI), co-founded by Donald Trump and his sons, is making significant investments in Ethereum, Ondo Finance, and AAVE, aiming to reshape the DeFi landscape ahead of Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025. With a $77 million portfolio, WLFI's focus on Ethereum underscores its belief in the platform's long-term potential, while investments in Ondo Finance and AAVE highlight its strategy to bridge real-world assets and enhance lending capabilities in decentralized finance. As attention on WLFI grows, these investments position it as a key player in the evolving crypto market.
Asian stocks mostly declined amid renewed concerns over potential trade friction with President-elect Donald Trump. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.9% following strong wage growth data, while the Shanghai Composite dropped 0.6% as inflation signals pointed to weak demand. In the U.S., markets were steady, with the S&P 500 recovering slightly after previous losses, as investors awaited key economic reports.
[Bloomberg]
Ripple President Monica Long expressed optimism about the imminent approval of a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the U.S., predicting it will come "very soon." She highlighted the growing role of stablecoins, particularly Ripple's RLUSD, which is set for broader distribution on various exchanges.Long noted that the demand for stablecoins is expected to rise alongside the overall growth of the crypto market. With multiple asset managers filing for XRP ETFs and a more favorable regulatory environment, she anticipates accelerated approvals, especially following recent changes in administration.
BNB is facing potential declines, currently priced at $696.40 after a 4.58% drop, with bearish indicators suggesting further downward pressure. Meanwhile, XRP has gained 2% following positive sentiment from a dinner between its CEO and Donald Trump, hinting at a possible breakout. Bitcoin has also seen a 2% decline, with on-chain data indicating a shift towards selling among holders, although its MVRV ratio suggests the market cycle may not have peaked yet.
World shares showed mixed results as U.S. economic data eased concerns on Wall Street, with markets closed for a National Day of Mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. European indices varied, while Asian markets mostly declined amid trade friction fears linked to President-elect Trump. U.S. private sector hiring slowed more than expected in December, raising hopes for interest rate cuts, while bond yields remained stable.
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